Cesar Chavez is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Cesar Chavez typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cesar Chavez, ~29% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cesar Chavez compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cesar Chavez sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 52 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 3 leaning the other way.
Cesar Chavez runs about 14 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Cesar Chavez sits closer to the political middle.
Why Cesar Chavez leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cesar Chavez, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Cesar Chavez votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Cesar Chavez runs about 14 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Cesar Chavez, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Cesar Chavez looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Cesar Chavez is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 38%, about 15 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 28% of households in Cesar Chavez rent, above 81% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 80% of adults in Cesar Chavez have completed high school, below 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nurillo, TX R+5
- Edinburg, TX Even
- Muniz, TX R+5
- Lopezville, TX Even
- Doolittle, TX R+8
- La Blanca, TX Even
- San Juan, TX Even
- Elsa, TX Even
- Faysville, TX R+13
- Alamo, TX R+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Bethel, TN R+64
- Como, IL R+37
- Rader, MO R+71
- McHue, AR R+67
- New Point, GA Even
- Imbler, OR R+55
- New Village, NJ R+34
- Newdale, ID R+64
- Littleton, IL R+48
- Menno, PA R+73
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.