Elvaston leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Elvaston typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elvaston, ~17% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elvaston compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elvaston leans more Republican than 25 of 61 neighbors.
Elvaston runs about 61 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Elvaston is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Elvaston. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+60) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+49), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Elvaston leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elvaston, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elvaston votes against the grain of Illinois. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Elvaston runs about 61 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Elvaston are family households, above 77% of cities.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Elvaston, IL does.
Why turnout in Elvaston looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Elvaston have completed high school, about 6 points above the Illinois average of 92%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Adrian, IL R+58
- Hamilton, IL R+32
- McCall, IL R+58
- Elderville, IL R+60
- Basco, IL R+63
- Ferris, IL R+58
- Carthage, IL R+37
- Keokuk, IA R+19
- Denver, IL R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alchesay Flat, AZ D+6
- Daniel Springs, GA D+24
- Kintyre, ND R+76
- Summertown, GA R+21
- Valle Escondido, NM D+48
- Slateford, PA R+34
- Kings Ferry, FL R+65
- Oak Forest, IN R+67
- North Granville, NY R+44
- Strange Creek, WV R+59
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.