Elyria is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Elyria typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elyria, ~33% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elyria compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elyria sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 61 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 13 leaning the other way.
Elyria runs about 14 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole. Ohio leans Republican overall, while Elyria sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Elyria. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Elyria leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elyria, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elyria votes against the grain of Ohio. Ohio leans Republican overall, while Elyria runs about 14 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Elyria, OH sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Elyria looks the way it does
Turnout in Elyria sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fields, OH R+16
- Brentwood Lake, OH R+28
- North Ridgeville, OH R+13
- Sheffield, OH R+10
- Lorain, OH D+14
- Eaton Estates, OH R+33
- Avon, OH R+8
- Amherst, OH R+14
- Grafton, OH R+27
- South Amherst, OH R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pocatello, ID R+18
- Lakeville, MN Even
- Florence, AL R+34
- Coconut Creek, FL D+9
- Rosemead, CA D+17
- Bentonville, AR R+14
- Garner, NC D+17
- Houma, LA R+37
- Huntsville, TX R+13
- Danville, CA D+27
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.