Bentonville leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Bentonville typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bentonville, ~25% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bentonville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bentonville leans more Republican than 3 of 55 neighbors.
Bentonville runs about 17 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bentonville. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+40) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Bentonville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bentonville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bentonville votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 62%, far above the Arkansas average of 13%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Bentonville, AR does.
Why turnout in Bentonville looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 45% of households in Bentonville rent, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 4% of homes in Bentonville have more than one occupant per room, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Centerton, AR R+31
- Little Flock, AR R+30
- Rogers, AR R+14
- Cave Springs, AR R+29
- Bella Vista, AR R+29
- Hiwasse, AR R+52
- Highfill, AR R+52
- Pea Ridge, AR R+54
- Lowell, AR R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Garner, NC D+17
- Coconut Creek, FL D+9
- Houma, LA R+37
- Florence, AL R+34
- Lakeville, MN Even
- Huntsville, TX R+13
- Pocatello, ID R+18
- Elyria, OH D+2
- Goleta, CA D+53
- Annandale, VA D+33
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.