Emigrant Gap leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Emigrant Gap typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Emigrant Gap, ~28% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Emigrant Gap compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Emigrant Gap leans more Republican than 16 of 32 neighbors.
Emigrant Gap runs about 32 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Emigrant Gap is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Emigrant Gap. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+36), a spread of about 50 points.
Why Emigrant Gap leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Emigrant Gap, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Emigrant Gap live in densely developed areas, about 53 points below the California average of 58%. Emigrant Gap runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Emigrant Gap, CA sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Emigrant Gap looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 98% of adults in Emigrant Gap have completed high school, about 12 points above the California average of 86%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Emigrant Gap own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Baxter, CA R+35
- Washington, CA D+10
- Alta, CA R+36
- Casa Loma, CA R+37
- Dutch Flat, CA R+32
- Gold Run, CA R+34
- The Cedars, CA D+43
- Soda Springs, CA D+25
- Alleghany, CA R+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Orme, TN R+53
- Howard, GA R+11
- Johnson Park, CA R+43
- Jay Em, WY R+81
- Ocoya, IL R+53
- May, ID R+66
- Maulden, KY R+75
- Freedom, ID R+74
- McKendree, VA R+31
- Floral, KS R+63
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.