Baxter leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Baxter typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baxter, ~22% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baxter compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Baxter leans more Republican than 32 of 37 neighbors.
Baxter runs about 56 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Baxter is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Baxter leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baxter, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Baxter votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Baxter runs about 56 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Baxter, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Baxter looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Baxter own their home, about 30 points above the California average of 62%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Baxter have completed high school, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Alta, CA R+36
- Dutch Flat, CA R+32
- Casa Loma, CA R+37
- Gold Run, CA R+34
- Emigrant Gap, CA R+12
- Washington, CA D+10
- Magra, CA R+36
- Michigan Bluff, CA R+37
- Nevada City, CA D+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Luther, TX R+86
- Lyonsdale, NY R+45
- Neptune, WV R+66
- Hemlock, WV R+71
- Toria, KY R+73
- Kings Crossroads, NC R+16
- Tolstoy, SD R+69
- Keewaydin, PA R+63
- Hamner, AL D+48
- New Washington, PA R+69
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.