Dutch Flat leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Dutch Flat typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dutch Flat, ~27% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dutch Flat compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dutch Flat leans more Republican than 34 of 42 neighbors.
Dutch Flat runs about 52 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Dutch Flat is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dutch Flat. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+34), a spread of about 46 points.
Why Dutch Flat leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dutch Flat, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dutch Flat votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Dutch Flat runs about 52 points more Republican.
Uninsured rate and voter turnout
Places with a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Dutch Flat, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Insurance coverage does not directly drive turnout; it reflects the income and stability that line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Dutch Flat looks the way it does
Turnout in Dutch Flat sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gold Run, CA R+34
- Alta, CA R+36
- Baxter, CA R+35
- Casa Loma, CA R+37
- Magra, CA R+36
- Washington, CA D+10
- Shady Glen, CA R+22
- Nevada City, CA D+24
- Michigan Bluff, CA R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Eek, AK D+19
- Valmy, NV R+68
- North Swanzey, NH R+9
- Unionville, IA R+53
- Amherst, SD R+31
- Kirkpatrick, OH R+57
- Healy, AK R+36
- South Lincoln, VT D+25
- Seven Devils, NC R+17
- Beechwood Manor, VA R+10
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.