Emmitsburg leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Emmitsburg typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Emmitsburg, ~25% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Emmitsburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Emmitsburg leans more Republican than 18 of 108 neighbors.
Emmitsburg runs about 45 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Emmitsburg is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Emmitsburg. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+49) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 44 points.
Why Emmitsburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Emmitsburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Emmitsburg votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Emmitsburg runs about 45 points more Republican.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Emmitsburg, MD sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Emmitsburg looks the way it does
Turnout in Emmitsburg sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Motters, MD R+55
- Fairplay, PA R+43
- Carroll Valley, PA R+39
- Middleburg, MD R+44
- Fairfield, PA R+48
- Rocky Ridge, MD R+49
- Greenmount, PA R+33
- Graceham, MD R+33
- Harney, MD R+48
- Sabillasville, MD R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ardsley, NY D+30
- Landisville, PA R+5
- Hearne, TX R+3
- Dacono, CO R+16
- Hapeville, GA D+47
- Linglestown, PA R+9
- Kingfisher, OK R+56
- Blanchester, OH R+60
- Clayton, GA R+56
- Elba, AL R+46
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.