Erin leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Erin typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Erin, ~20% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Erin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Erin leans more Republican than 84 of 111 neighbors.
Erin runs about 57 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Erin is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Erin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Erin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Erin votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Erin runs about 57 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Erin, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Erin looks the way it does
Turnout in Erin sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Breesport, NY R+38
- Van Etten, NY R+44
- North Chemung, NY R+52
- Sullivanville, NY R+35
- Cayuta, NY R+36
- Lockwood, NY R+47
- Lowman, NY R+51
- North Spencer, NY R+32
- Horseheads, NY R+19
- Elmira Heights, NY R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ramhurst, GA R+75
- Boykins, VA R+9
- Rion, SC D+21
- Fairchild, WI R+43
- West Easton, PA D+2
- Fort Covington, NY R+32
- Avon, IL R+44
- Tanner Williams, AL R+84
- Howland, ME R+39
- Barlow, KY R+65
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.