Ernest is a Republican stronghold. About 25% of voters here vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Ernest typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ernest, ~16% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ernest compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ernest leans more Republican than 44 of 181 neighbors.
Ernest runs about 49 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ernest. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+54) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+31), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Ernest leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Ernest. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Ernest, PA sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Ernest looks the way it does
Turnout in Ernest sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Chambersville, PA R+57
- Fulton Run, PA R+49
- Indiana, PA R+6
- Creekside, PA R+60
- Tanoma, PA R+54
- Home, PA R+60
- Atwood, PA R+62
- Sample Run, PA R+60
- Lucerne Mines, PA R+28
- Beyer, PA R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oak Grove, MI R+17
- Oakesdale, WA R+50
- High Point, TN R+73
- Carmack, MS R+78
- South Cambridge, VT D+22
- Old Dime Box, TX R+47
- Jaudon, MO R+49
- Crystal Springs, GA R+65
- Falling Spring, VA R+64
- Anton Chico, NM D+12
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.