Ernul leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Ernul typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ernul, ~16% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ernul compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ernul leans more Republican than 51 of 61 neighbors.
Ernul runs about 47 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ernul. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+66) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+37), a spread of about 29 points.
Why Ernul leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ernul, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Ernul drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Ernul sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 81% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Ernul, NC sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Ernul looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Ernul is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cayton, NC R+55
- Forest, NC R+58
- Vanceboro, NC R+33
- Bridgeton, NC R+44
- Olympia, NC R+61
- New Bern, NC R+8
- Trent Woods, NC R+25
- Fairfield Harbour, NC R+41
- Small, NC R+28
Cities with Similar Populations
- Timber Trails, LA R+78
- Bismarck, IL R+53
- Murphy Corner, WI R+41
- Gainesville, MO R+64
- Mifflin, PA R+61
- Barhamsville, VA R+30
- Zell, MO R+57
- Woodway, WA D+11
- Plainfield, NH Even
- Oakland, MS R+25
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.