Escabosa leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Escabosa typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Escabosa, ~29% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Escabosa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Escabosa leans more Republican than 9 of 23 neighbors.
Escabosa runs about 14 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Escabosa is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Escabosa. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Escabosa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Escabosa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Escabosa live in densely developed areas, about 15 points below the New Mexico average of 18%. Escabosa runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Escabosa, NM sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Escabosa looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 97% of households in Escabosa own their home, about 17 points above the New Mexico average of 80%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Escabosa have completed high school, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tijeras, NM R+11
- Zamora, NM R+8
- Edgewood, NM R+26
- Moriarty, NM R+34
- Torreon, NM R+31
- Mc Intosh, NM R+54
- Estancia, NM R+35
- Cedar Crest, NM Even
- Meadow Lake, NM R+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ben Bolt, TX R+14
- Belmont, WV R+55
- Easton, TX R+34
- Saybrook, IL R+46
- Neeley, ID R+59
- Seth, WV R+66
- Leadville North, CO D+15
- Warwick, OK R+65
- Sugar Tree, TN R+71
- Avera, GA R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.