Tijeras leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Tijeras typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tijeras, ~33% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tijeras compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tijeras leans more Republican than 19 of 26 neighbors.
Tijeras runs about 17 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Tijeras is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tijeras. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+18) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Tijeras leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tijeras, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Tijeras votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Tijeras runs about 17 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Tijeras, NM sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Tijeras looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Tijeras is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Tijeras own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Tijeras have completed high school, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Zamora, NM R+8
- Edgewood, NM R+26
- Cedar Crest, NM Even
- Escabosa, NM R+8
- Sandia Park, NM Even
- Cedar Grove, NM R+24
- Moriarty, NM R+34
- Kirtland Afb, NM Even
- Mc Intosh, NM R+54
Cities with Similar Populations
- Baywood, NY D+8
- Ridgeway, VA R+41
- Brigantine, NJ R+9
- New Boston, TX R+20
- Fairfield, NJ R+38
- Clarion, PA R+22
- Pine Ridge, FL R+44
- Baltimore Highlands, MD D+12
- Strathmore, NJ R+11
- Oliver Springs, TN R+58
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.