Neeley is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Neeley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Neeley, ~12% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Neeley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Neeley leans more Republican than 4 of 10 neighbors.
Neeley runs about 23 points more Republican than Idaho as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Neeley. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+65) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+53), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Neeley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Neeley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 85% of households in Neeley are family households, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Neeley sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 87% of cities). Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Neeley sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 80% of cities).
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Neeley, ID sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Neeley looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Neeley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 45% of households in Neeley rent, compared to around 24% in nearby cities. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 5% of homes in Neeley have more than one occupant per room, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- American Falls, ID R+38
- Aberdeen, ID R+47
- Arbon Valley, ID R+61
- Rockland, ID R+74
- Sterling, ID R+72
- Pauline, ID R+69
- Raft River, ID R+74
- Chubbuck, ID R+37
- Springfield, ID R+72
- Pocatello, ID R+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pleasant Dale, NE R+60
- Albert City, IA R+47
- Warwick, OK R+65
- Cool Springs, AL R+70
- Easton, TX R+34
- Leadville North, CO D+15
- Escabosa, NM R+8
- Mack, CO R+58
- Saybrook, IL R+46
- Seth, WV R+66
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Idaho Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.