Escalante leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 34% of adults in Escalante typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Escalante, ~22% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~66% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Escalante compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Escalante leans more Democratic than 6 of 10 neighbors.
Escalante runs about 37 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Escalante is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Escalante. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+40) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+25), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Escalante leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Escalante, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Escalante votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Escalante runs about 37 points more Democratic. Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting, and non-Hispanic white share in Escalante is about 28%, about 44 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in Escalante have never been married, above 78% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Escalante, Tempe, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Escalante looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Escalante is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 12% of homes in Escalante have more than one occupant per room, above 93% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Escalante sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Meyer Park, Tempe, AZ D+29
- Southwest Mesa, Mesa, AZ D+14
- Downtown Tempe, Tempe, AZ D+38
- Tempe Junction, Tempe, AZ D+39
- Riverside, Tempe, AZ D+42
- Sunset, Tempe, AZ D+41
- West Central, Mesa, AZ D+17
- Peterson, Tempe, AZ D+30
- Hohokam Village, Mesa, AZ D+9
- Baseline-Hardy, Tempe, AZ D+24
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- North Trenton, Trenton, NJ D+79
- Bolton, Mobile, AL D+53
- East Carollton, New Orleans, LA D+56
- Parkway, Albuquerque, NM D+6
- Greenbriar, Glendale, AZ R+4
- Lakeview, Buffalo, NY D+51
- Bardonia, West Nyack, NY R+7
- College Hills, San Angelo, TX R+29
- Seven Oaks, Bakersfield, CA R+28
- Downtown Village of Holly, Holly, MI R+14
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.