West Central leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 39% of adults in West Central typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in West Central, ~23% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~61% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How West Central compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, West Central leans more Democratic than 6 of 7 neighbors.
West Central runs about 23 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while West Central is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within West Central. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+26) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 24 points.
Why West Central leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for West Central, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
West Central votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while West Central runs about 23 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 46% of adults in West Central have never been married, above 75% of neighborhoods.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; West Central, Mesa, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in West Central looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. West Central is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 8 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in West Central report food insecurity, above 82% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in West Central have completed high school, below 89% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Meyerland, Houston, TX D+29
- Westchase, Houston, TX D+21
- Cedar Crest, Dallas, TX D+68
- Greater Heights, Houston, TX D+24
- Far North Dallas-Keller, Keller, TX R+16
- Chelsea, Manhattan, NY D+65
- Forest Hills, Queens, NY D+20
- Crown Heights, Brooklyn, NY D+59
- Millcreek, Salt Lake City, UT D+34
- Hamilton Heights, Manhattan, NY D+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.