Esparto is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Esparto typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Esparto, ~30% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Esparto compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Esparto leans more Democratic than 17 of 23 neighbors.
Esparto runs about 16 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Esparto. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+13) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+19), a spread of about 32 points.
Why Esparto leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Esparto. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Esparto, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Esparto looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Esparto is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 11% of homes in Esparto have more than one occupant per room, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Madison, CA R+6
- Capay, CA R+19
- Brooks, CA R+18
- Zamora, CA R+18
- Yolo, CA R+16
- Winters, CA D+6
- Woodland, CA D+22
- Dunnigan, CA R+19
- Guinda, CA R+19
- Spanish Flat, CA R+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Whitewright, TX R+64
- Cut Bank, MT R+24
- West Wyomissing, PA Even
- Cuba, NY R+36
- Grand Ridge, FL R+60
- North Yarmouth, ME D+12
- Shark River Hills, NJ R+4
- Unadilla, GA R+10
- Pound, VA R+48
- Proctor, MN D+5
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.