Spanish Flat, CA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Spanish Flat

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Spanish Flat leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.

 

About 57% of adults in Spanish Flat typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Spanish Flat, ~22% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Spanish Flat compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Spanish Flat leans more Republican than 29 of 31 neighbors.

Spanish Flat runs about 42 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Spanish Flat is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Spanish Flat leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Spanish Flat, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Spanish Flat votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Spanish Flat runs about 42 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Spanish Flat sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 92% of cities).

Paved land cover and Republican lean

Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Spanish Flat, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Spanish Flat looks the way it does

Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 9% of homes in Spanish Flat have more than one occupant per room, above 96% of cities. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 30% of households in Spanish Flat rent, above 84% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 85% of adults in Spanish Flat have completed high school, below 79% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.