Winters, CA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Winters

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Winters leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.

 

About 61% of adults in Winters typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Winters, ~32% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Winters compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Winters leans more Democratic than 16 of 26 neighbors.

Winters runs about 14 points more Republican than California as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Winters. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+13) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+24), a spread of about 37 points.

Why Winters leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Winters, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 46% of residents in Winters live in densely developed areas, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Winters sits in the top quarter (about 33%, above 79% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 31% of adults in Winters have never been married, above 78% of cities.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Winters, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Winters looks the way it does

Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 8% of homes in Winters have more than one occupant per room, above 95% of cities. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 32% of households in Winters rent, above 86% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Winters have completed high school, below 76% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.