Evening Shade is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Evening Shade typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Evening Shade, ~8% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Evening Shade compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Evening Shade leans more Republican than 54 of 60 neighbors.
Evening Shade runs about 40 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Evening Shade leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Evening Shade, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in Evening Shade hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Arkansas average of 18%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Evening Shade sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 83% of cities).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Evening Shade, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Evening Shade looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Evening Shade is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 13 points below the U.S. average of 60%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Evening Shade report food insecurity, above 83% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 72% of adults in Evening Shade have completed high school, below 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sidney, AR R+72
- Maxville, AR R+71
- Myron, AR R+66
- Poughkeepsie, AR R+69
- Ballard, AR R+67
- Cave City, AR R+65
- Ash Flat, AR R+66
- Franklin, AR R+66
- Stuart, AR R+67
- Sage, AR R+69
Cities with Similar Populations
- Coalton, KY R+60
- Odom, TX R+80
- Tarrs, PA R+39
- Franklin, NE R+68
- Orr, MI R+35
- Sudan, TX R+76
- Humboldt, NE R+60
- Cohay, MS R+42
- Waubun, MN R+21
- Looxahoma, MS R+22
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.