Fern Bluff leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Fern Bluff typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fern Bluff, ~44% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fern Bluff compares
Fern Bluff runs about 26 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Fern Bluff is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Fern Bluff leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fern Bluff, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 57% of adults in Fern Bluff hold a bachelor's degree, about 28 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Fern Bluff runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Fern Bluff, Brushy Creek, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Fern Bluff looks the way it does
Turnout in Fern Bluff sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Northwest Austin, Austin, TX D+25
- Milwood, Austin, TX D+42
- Crossley Crossing, Round Rock, TX Even
- Paloma Lake, Round Rock, TX D+5
- North Burnet, Austin, TX D+45
- Mountain Creek, Pflugerville, TX D+24
- North Austin, Austin, TX D+48
- North Shoal Creek, Austin, TX D+51
- North Lamar, Austin, TX D+37
- Mesa Forest, Austin, TX D+44
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- West Main Street Historic District, Norwalk, OH R+28
- Waltham Highlands, Waltham, MA D+43
- Las Lomas, Laredo, TX D+12
- Buckingham Lake-Crestwood, Albany, NY D+47
- Union Square, Lakewood, CO D+34
- Tower Homes, Kansas City, MO D+67
- College Hill, Wichita, KS D+29
- Sharon, Orem, UT R+20
- Randall Park, Eau Claire, WI D+29
- South Menomonie, Menomonie, WI D+14
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.