Paloma Lake leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Paloma Lake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paloma Lake, ~39% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Paloma Lake compares
Paloma Lake runs about 19 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Paloma Lake is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Paloma Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Paloma Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 62% of adults in Paloma Lake hold a bachelor's degree, about 34 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Paloma Lake runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Paloma Lake, Round Rock, TX sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Paloma Lake looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. More than 99% of adults in Paloma Lake have completed high school, about 14 points above the Texas average of 86%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Crossley Crossing, Round Rock, TX Even
- Fern Bluff, Brushy Creek, TX D+12
- Mountain Creek, Pflugerville, TX D+24
- Milwood, Austin, TX D+42
- Northwest Austin, Austin, TX D+25
- North Burnet, Austin, TX D+45
- Sun City, Georgetown, TX R+20
- North Lamar, Austin, TX D+37
- North Austin, Austin, TX D+48
- Harris Branch, Austin, TX D+44
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Woburn Street Historic District, Reading, MA D+33
- Belle Valley, Erie, PA R+4
- Milan, New Orleans, LA D+62
- Route 66 Historic District, Amarillo, TX R+12
- Vine, Kalamazoo, MI D+51
- Fordville, Southgate, MI R+8
- Neighborhood Nine, Cambridge, MA D+78
- Boal, Chula Vista, CA D+23
- Stone Meadows, Bakersfield, CA R+4
- Sunshine, Lehigh Acres, FL D+6
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.