North Shoal Creek is a Democratic stronghold. About 76% of voters here vote Democratic and 24% Republican.
About 66% of adults in North Shoal Creek typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Shoal Creek, ~50% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Shoal Creek compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, North Shoal Creek leans more Democratic than 7 of 19 neighbors.
North Shoal Creek runs about 65 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while North Shoal Creek is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within North Shoal Creek. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+62) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+35), a spread of about 26 points.
Why North Shoal Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Shoal Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in North Shoal Creek live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and North Shoal Creek sits in the top quarter (about 65%, above 86% of neighborhoods). North Shoal Creek runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; North Shoal Creek, Austin, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in North Shoal Creek looks the way it does
Turnout in North Shoal Creek sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Wooten, Austin, TX D+53
- Mesa Forest, Austin, TX D+44
- Allandale, Austin, TX D+54
- Crestview, Austin, TX D+66
- North Austin, Austin, TX D+48
- Brentwood, Austin, TX D+59
- Georgian Acres, Austin, TX D+48
- North Burnet, Austin, TX D+45
- Highland, Austin, TX D+61
- North Lamar, Austin, TX D+37
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- City Center North, Aurora, CO D+45
- Pulaski, Detroit, MI D+86
- Daybreak, South Jordan, UT Even
- Grandale, Detroit, MI D+86
- Kettering-Butzel, Detroit, MI D+87
- Eastern Hills, Dayton, OH R+9
- Tower Grove East, St. Louis, MO D+76
- Southeast Erie, Erie, PA D+20
- Junior College Neighborhood Assc., Santa Rosa, CA D+62
- Wakefield, Tucson, AZ D+43
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.