Ferndale is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Ferndale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ferndale, ~37% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ferndale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ferndale sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 21 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 19 leaning the other way.
Ferndale runs about 20 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Ferndale sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ferndale. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+19) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+26), a spread of about 45 points.
Why Ferndale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ferndale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ferndale votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Ferndale runs about 20 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Ferndale, WA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Ferndale looks the way it does
Turnout in Ferndale sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mountain View, WA R+7
- Marietta, WA D+41
- Pleasant Valley, WA R+25
- Custer, WA R+29
- Birch Bay, WA Even
- Lynden, WA R+26
- Bellingham, WA D+49
- Lummi Island, WA D+54
- Strandell, WA R+30
- Blaine, WA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rochester, MI Even
- Mountain Home, AR R+47
- El Cerrito, CA D+70
- New Castle, IN R+40
- Mount Holly, NC R+21
- Flushing, MI R+5
- Gallup, NM D+12
- Holbrook, NY R+26
- Chevy Chase, MD D+69
- Mira Loma, CA Even
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.