Lynden leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Lynden typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lynden, ~33% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lynden compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lynden leans more Republican than 25 of 30 neighbors.
Lynden runs about 44 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Lynden is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lynden. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+2) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+56), a spread of about 58 points.
Why Lynden leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lynden, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lynden votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 55%, modestly above the Washington average of 41%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Lynden runs against the grain of Washington, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Lynden, WA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lynden looks the way it does
Turnout in Lynden sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Strandell, WA R+30
- Everson, WA R+27
- Nooksack, WA R+32
- Custer, WA R+29
- Sumas, WA R+38
- Ferndale, WA Even
- Lawrence, WA R+26
- Pleasant Valley, WA R+25
- Mountain View, WA R+7
- Bellingham, WA D+49
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oldsmar, FL R+16
- Monroe, WA R+3
- Huntington, IN R+41
- Portsmouth, OH R+30
- Machesney Park, IL R+14
- Seymour, TN R+60
- Washington, NC R+9
- Lemont, IL R+18
- Jesup, GA R+44
- Fernley, NV R+40
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.