Flat Rock leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Flat Rock typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Flat Rock, ~27% vote Democratic, ~72% Republican, and ~1% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Flat Rock compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Flat Rock leans more Republican than 79 of 82 neighbors.
Flat Rock runs about 52 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Flat Rock is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Flat Rock. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+52) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+32), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Flat Rock leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Flat Rock, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Flat Rock votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Flat Rock runs about 52 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Flat Rock, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Flat Rock looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Flat Rock is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in Flat Rock own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Powhatan, VA R+38
- Fine Creek Mills, VA R+34
- Genito, VA R+47
- Lee, VA R+19
- Clayville, VA R+14
- Moseley, VA R+9
- State Farm, VA R+22
- Crozier, VA R+21
- Jefferson, VA R+32
Cities with Similar Populations
- Woodland, NC D+5
- Montalba, TX R+77
- Warman, MN R+55
- Palmer, TN R+68
- Wakefield, KS R+62
- Omer, MI R+44
- New London, TX R+67
- Hot Springs, VA R+51
- Point Roberts, WA D+27
- Nelson, GA R+63
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.