Flemington is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Flemington typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Flemington, ~40% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Flemington compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Flemington sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 95 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 87 leaning the other way.
Flemington runs about 7 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Flemington. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+15), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Flemington leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Flemington. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Flemington, NJ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Flemington looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Flemington is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Three Bridges, NJ R+9
- Reaville, NJ R+11
- Ringoes, NJ R+4
- Larisons Corner, NJ R+8
- Neshanic Station, NJ R+9
- Locktown, NJ R+7
- Whitehouse Station, NJ R+14
- Dilts Corner, NJ D+4
- Annandale, NJ Even
- Pittstown, NJ R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Galloway, OH R+7
- West Warwick, RI D+6
- Fountain, CO R+16
- Ruston, LA R+11
- San Ysidro, CA D+24
- Franconia, VA D+46
- Shenandoah, FL R+15
- Hobart, IN R+7
- Livingston, NJ D+18
- Maple Valley, WA D+17
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.