Shenandoah leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Shenandoah typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shenandoah, ~23% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shenandoah compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Shenandoah leans more Republican than 49 of 78 neighbors.
Politically, Shenandoah sits close to the rest of Florida.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Shenandoah. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+27) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Shenandoah leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shenandoah, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Shenandoah votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Shenandoah, FL does.
Why turnout in Shenandoah looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Shenandoah is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 25%, about 11 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 49% of households in Shenandoah rent, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Miami, FL D+4
- Coral Gables, FL D+3
- West Miami, FL R+29
- Coral Terrace, FL R+34
- Brownsville, FL D+47
- South Miami, FL D+4
- Virginia Gardens, FL R+30
- Gladeview, FL D+53
- Glenvar Heights, FL R+11
- Key Biscayne, FL R+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Franconia, VA D+46
- Maple Valley, WA D+17
- West Warwick, RI D+6
- Suisun City, CA D+27
- Oakleaf Plantation, FL D+7
- Galloway, OH R+7
- Ferry Pass, FL R+15
- Flemington, NJ Even
- Garfield Heights, OH D+52
- Fountain, CO R+16
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.