San Antonito leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 38% of adults in San Antonito typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in San Antonito, ~16% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How San Antonito compares
Among cities within 25 miles, San Antonito leans more Republican than 4 of 6 neighbors.
San Antonito runs about 23 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while San Antonito is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why San Antonito leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for San Antonito, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
San Antonito votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while San Antonito runs about 23 points more Republican.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; San Antonito, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in San Antonito looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. San Antonito is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 8 points below the New Mexico average of 58%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 27% of adults in San Antonito report food insecurity, above 93% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 85% of adults in San Antonito have completed high school, below 78% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- San Antonio, NM R+15
- Luis Lopez, NM R+8
- Socorro, NM D+4
- Florida, NM R+8
- Lemitar, NM R+19
- Polvadera, NM R+19
- San Acacia, NM R+24
- La Joya, NM R+18
- Bernardo, NM R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fallon, MT R+68
- Hawthorne, IA R+51
- Rimrock, CA D+5
- Imnaha, OR R+42
- Idyllwild, CA R+18
- Flintstone, PA R+76
- Blundale, GA R+6
- Eaton, ME R+38
- Tilden, IN R+49
- Temple Hill, IL R+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.