Luis Lopez leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Luis Lopez typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Luis Lopez, ~24% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Luis Lopez compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Luis Lopez leans more Republican than 1 of 7 neighbors.
Luis Lopez runs about 14 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Luis Lopez is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Luis Lopez. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+27), a spread of about 32 points.
Why Luis Lopez leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Luis Lopez, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 89% of residents in Luis Lopez drive to work alone, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Luis Lopez runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Luis Lopez, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Luis Lopez looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Luis Lopez is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 33% of households in Luis Lopez rent, compared to around 18% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 24% of adults in Luis Lopez report food insecurity, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- San Antonio, NM R+15
- San Antonito, NM R+17
- Socorro, NM D+4
- Florida, NM R+8
- Lemitar, NM R+19
- Polvadera, NM R+19
- San Acacia, NM R+24
- La Joya, NM R+18
- Bernardo, NM R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gladwin, IA R+44
- Meridale, NY R+18
- Meadow, UT R+74
- McIntyre Landing, MI R+29
- Matlock, IA R+71
- Marlin, WA R+71
- Tarzan, TX R+81
- Drifton, PA R+45
- Ricardo, TX R+20
- St. Albans, MO R+46
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.