Flower Hill is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Flower Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Flower Hill, ~44% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Flower Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Flower Hill sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 142 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 127 leaning the other way.
Flower Hill runs about 10 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Flower Hill. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+9) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+3), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Flower Hill leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Flower Hill. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Flower Hill, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Flower Hill looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Flower Hill is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Flower Hill own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Flower Hill have completed high school, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Munsey Park, NY R+5
- Roslyn Estates, NY D+4
- Manhasset, NY Even
- Plandome, NY R+17
- Plandome Manor, NY D+12
- Plandome Heights, NY R+8
- Roslyn, NY D+7
- Port Washington, NY D+26
- Roslyn Harbor, NY D+3
- North Hills, NY D+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Watertown, TN R+65
- Jeffersonville, KY R+66
- Mingo Junction, OH R+40
- Clearwater, MN R+42
- Maysville, NC R+32
- Rushville, IL R+40
- Hardin, MT R+18
- Midway, NC R+47
- Farmers Loop, AK R+18
- Rio Bravo, TX R+6
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.