Garden City leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Garden City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Garden City, ~24% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Garden City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Garden City leans more Democratic than 36 of 37 neighbors.
Garden City runs about 4 points more Republican than Colorado as a whole.
Why Garden City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Garden City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Garden City live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 49% of adults in Garden City have never been married, above 98% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Garden City, CO sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Garden City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Garden City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 85% of households in Garden City rent, compared to around 24% in nearby cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Garden City sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Evans, CO R+12
- Greeley, CO R+5
- La Salle, CO R+47
- Rosedale, CO R+43
- Lucerne, CO R+47
- Peckham, CO R+57
- Kersey, CO R+54
- Spanish Village, CO R+60
- Gilcrest, CO R+56
- Eaton, CO R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lookout, CA R+46
- Tinsman, AR R+59
- Tipperary, MO R+66
- Takilma, OR R+23
- Lutesville, MO R+67
- Blackstone, IL R+52
- Hamilton, IA R+51
- Henkhaus, TX R+75
- Corning, MN R+39
- Pearl, MI R+25
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Colorado Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.