Gardners Grove leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 77% of adults in Gardners Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gardners Grove, ~27% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gardners Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gardners Grove is the most Republican-leaning.
Gardners Grove runs about 33 points more Republican than New Hampshire as a whole. New Hampshire is roughly evenly split, and Gardners Grove sits clearly on the Republican side.
Why Gardners Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gardners Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Gardners Grove, more than 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 28 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 23 points below the New Hampshire average of 38%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Gardners Grove are family households, above 80% of cities. Gardners Grove runs against the grain of New Hampshire, a Republican-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Gardners Grove, NH sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Gardners Grove looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Gardners Grove have completed high school, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lochmere, NH R+8
- Belmont, NH R+24
- Tilton, NH R+11
- Winnisquam, NH R+12
- Sanbornton, NH R+10
- Gilmanton, NH R+15
- Northfield, NH R+19
- Laconia, NH D+2
- Pearls Corner, NH Even
- Franklin, NH R+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mertens, TX R+70
- Trapper Creek, AK R+34
- Condon, MT R+35
- Montgomery Creek, CA R+37
- Carrier, OK R+72
- Excelsior Estates, MO R+55
- New Blaine, AR R+64
- West Chester, IA R+45
- Myersburg, PA R+49
- Jupiter, NC R+36
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.