Girard leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Girard typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Girard, ~21% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Girard compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Girard leans more Republican than 15 of 65 neighbors.
Girard runs about 52 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Girard is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Girard. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+53) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+34), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Girard leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Girard, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Girard votes against the grain of Illinois. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Girard runs about 52 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Girard runs against that pattern. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Girard fits that profile on both counts.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Girard, IL sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Girard looks the way it does
Turnout in Girard sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- McVey, IL R+52
- Nilwood, IL R+53
- Virden, IL R+39
- Thayer, IL R+45
- Scottville, IL R+56
- Atwater, IL R+52
- Farmersville, IL R+53
- Waggoner, IL R+54
- Modesto, IL R+59
- Standard City, IL R+49
Cities with Similar Populations
- Akron, IN R+55
- Kenansville, NC R+14
- Nauvoo, AL R+86
- Delavan Lake, WI R+22
- Beech Bluff, TN R+69
- Hickman, KY R+41
- Great Neck Estates, NY R+38
- Orrtanna, PA R+43
- Lansing, NC R+54
- Bryant, AL R+82
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.