Goodyears Bar leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Goodyears Bar typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Goodyears Bar, ~28% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Goodyears Bar compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Goodyears Bar leans more Republican than 16 of 33 neighbors.
Goodyears Bar runs about 35 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Goodyears Bar is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Goodyears Bar. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+19) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Goodyears Bar leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Goodyears Bar, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Goodyears Bar votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Goodyears Bar runs about 35 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Goodyears Bar sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 90% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Goodyears Bar, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Goodyears Bar looks the way it does
Turnout in Goodyears Bar sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Downieville, CA R+17
- Alleghany, CA R+6
- Pike, CA R+10
- Strawberry Valley, CA R+11
- Camptonville, CA R+10
- North Columbia, CA D+32
- Clipper Mills, CA R+27
- Woodleaf, CA R+11
- North San Juan, CA D+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zepp, VA R+54
- Benoit, WI D+8
- Waterview, KY R+72
- Farmville, AL R+44
- Verdon, SD R+60
- Fern Prairie, WA R+8
- Vidaurri, TX R+48
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.