Goose Creek leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 35% of adults in Goose Creek typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Goose Creek, ~19% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~65% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Goose Creek compares
Goose Creek runs about 21 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Goose Creek is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Goose Creek. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the east side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Goose Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Goose Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Goose Creek votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Goose Creek runs about 21 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Goose Creek, Baytown, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Goose Creek looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Goose Creek is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 12 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 61% of adults in Goose Creek have completed high school, below 98% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Highland Farms, Baytown, TX R+6
- Downtown La Porte, La Porte, TX R+25
- Old River Terrace, Channelview, TX R+21
- Spencer View Terrace, Deer Park, TX R+22
- Houston Suburban Homes, Pasadena, TX R+10
- Houston Farms, Houston, TX Even
- South Houston Gardens, Pasadena, TX R+20
- Hubbell, Pasadena, TX R+5
- Clear Lake, Houston, TX R+8
- South Shore Harbour and Marina, League City, TX R+20
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Military, Buffalo, NY D+33
- Summerville, Augusta, GA D+14
- Huffman, Birmingham, AL D+62
- West End, New Orleans, LA D+4
- Argyle Forest, Jacksonville, FL D+5
- Benson, Omaha, NE D+41
- Friends of Ridgecrest, Largo, FL D+18
- Southeast Quality, South Bend, IN D+39
- Rockfish, Raeford, NC R+6
- Park Shore, Naples, FL R+25
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.