Argyle Forest leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Argyle Forest typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Argyle Forest, ~34% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Argyle Forest compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Argyle Forest leans more Democratic than 2 of 13 neighbors.
Argyle Forest runs about 18 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Argyle Forest is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Argyle Forest. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+22) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+13), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Argyle Forest leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Argyle Forest, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Argyle Forest votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Argyle Forest runs about 18 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Argyle Forest, Jacksonville, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Argyle Forest looks the way it does
Turnout in Argyle Forest sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Duclay, Jacksonville, FL D+17
- McGirts Creek, Jacksonville, FL D+19
- Ortega Hills, Jacksonville, FL D+11
- Duclay Forest, Jacksonville, FL D+32
- Settlers Landing, Jacksonville, FL R+7
- Oak Hill, Jacksonville, FL D+31
- Chimney Lakes, Jacksonville, FL D+5
- Wesconnett, Jacksonville, FL D+10
- Jacksonville Heights, Jacksonville, FL D+30
- Cedar Hills, Jacksonville, FL D+17
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.