Goshen leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 39% of adults in Goshen typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Goshen, ~13% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~61% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Goshen compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Goshen leans more Republican than 29 of 44 neighbors.
Goshen runs about 53 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Goshen is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Goshen. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+58) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+7), a spread of about 51 points.
Why Goshen leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Goshen, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Goshen votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Goshen runs about 53 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Goshen sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 77% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Goshen are family households, above 94% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Goshen, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Goshen looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Goshen is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 49% of households in Goshen rent, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of adults in Goshen report food insecurity, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Traver, CA R+43
- Guernsey, CA R+57
- Hanford, CA R+15
- London, CA R+15
- Visalia, CA R+17
- Tulare, CA R+16
- Armona, CA R+19
- Monson, CA R+46
- Waukena, CA R+48
- Hardwick, CA R+53
Cities with Similar Populations
- Easton, MI R+37
- Browns Valley, MN R+36
- Mascoma, NH D+8
- Prairieville, MI R+27
- Kensett, IA R+38
- Cunningham, KS R+67
- Moon, WI R+34
- Staunton, IN R+53
- Tribes Hill, NY R+32
- Worms, NE R+71
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.