Hardwick is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 43% of adults in Hardwick typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hardwick, ~10% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hardwick compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hardwick leans more Republican than 36 of 37 neighbors.
Hardwick runs about 73 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Hardwick is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Hardwick leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hardwick, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hardwick votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Hardwick runs about 73 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Hardwick sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 76% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Hardwick are family households, above 93% of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Hardwick, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Hardwick looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hardwick is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 62% of households in Hardwick rent, compared to around 44% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Laton, CA R+37
- Hanford, CA R+15
- Armona, CA R+19
- Wildflower, CA R+36
- Lemoore, CA R+15
- Traver, CA R+43
- Riverdale, CA R+34
- Monmouth, CA R+26
- Kingsburg, CA R+34
- Elm View, CA R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yorkville, WI R+30
- Middle Granville, NY R+42
- Crab Orchard Estates, IL R+21
- Pine Grove, TX R+80
- Charter Oak, IA R+57
- Hobgood, NC D+11
- Alverno, MI R+29
- Fort Lyon, CO R+48
- Dupree, SD R+28
- Marytown, WI R+52
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.