Graham leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Graham typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Graham, ~26% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Graham compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Graham leans more Republican than 4 of 35 neighbors.
Graham runs about 16 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Graham. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+40) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 32 points.
Why Graham leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Graham, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in Graham hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points below the Florida average of 31%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Graham, FL sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Graham looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Graham is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 7 points below the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Starke, FL R+45
- Lawtey, FL R+45
- Raiford, FL R+55
- Hampton, FL R+72
- Theressa, FL R+65
- Hugh, FL R+70
- Brooker, FL R+65
- Waldo, FL R+30
- Keystone Heights, FL R+61
- New River, FL R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Taska, MS R+32
- West Helena, AR R+6
- Grahamsville, NY R+30
- Lake View, IA R+50
- Ferndale, AR R+48
- Lewisville, ID R+75
- Montbrook, FL R+54
- Mount Hamilton, CA D+10
- Holiday Lakes, TX R+36
- East View, KY R+65
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.