Holiday Lakes leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Holiday Lakes typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holiday Lakes, ~18% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Holiday Lakes compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Holiday Lakes leans more Republican than 17 of 45 neighbors.
Holiday Lakes runs about 22 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Holiday Lakes leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Holiday Lakes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Holiday Lakes live in densely developed areas, about 30 points below the Texas average of 35%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Holiday Lakes, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Holiday Lakes looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Holiday Lakes is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 76% of adults in Holiday Lakes have completed high school, below 95% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Holiday Lakes sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Baileys Prairie, TX R+55
- Angleton, TX R+31
- Bonney, TX R+53
- Lochridge, TX R+31
- West Columbia, TX R+49
- Sandy Point, TX R+17
- Danbury, TX R+70
- Bastrop Beach, TX R+49
- Damon, TX R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Warrensburg, IL R+56
- Wyalusing, PA R+49
- Kermit, WV R+74
- Cypress Inn, TN R+77
- Tolarsville, NC R+13
- Madison, NH R+3
- Olympic Valley, CA D+40
- Hettinger, ND R+62
- Hay Springs, NE R+73
- West Helena, AR R+6
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.