Lawtey leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Lawtey typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lawtey, ~15% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lawtey compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lawtey leans more Republican than 13 of 37 neighbors.
Lawtey runs about 32 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lawtey. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+81) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+7), a spread of about 74 points.
Why Lawtey leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lawtey, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 9% of adults in Lawtey hold a bachelor's degree, about 22 points below the Florida average of 31%.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Lawtey, FL does.
Why turnout in Lawtey looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lawtey is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 7 points below the Florida average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 76% of adults in Lawtey have completed high school, below 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Graham, FL R+29
- Raiford, FL R+55
- Hugh, FL R+70
- Starke, FL R+45
- Hampton, FL R+72
- Theressa, FL R+65
- Middleburg, FL R+46
- Macclenny, FL R+57
- Brooker, FL R+65
- Penney Farms, FL R+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Westover, WV D+5
- Hobart, OK R+61
- Rydal, GA R+75
- Glouster, OH R+43
- Edgecliff Village, TX Even
- Chattaroy, WA R+40
- Charlotte Harbor, FL R+22
- Sauquoit, NY R+34
- Park Falls, WI R+31
- Banks, OR R+13
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.