Graham leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Graham typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Graham, ~32% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Graham compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Graham leans more Republican than 45 of 70 neighbors.
Graham runs about 39 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Graham is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Graham. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Graham leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Graham, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Graham votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 58%, well above the Washington average of 41%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Graham are family households, above 88% of cities. Graham runs against the grain of Washington, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Graham, WA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Graham looks the way it does
Turnout in Graham sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kapowsin, WA R+33
- South Creek, WA R+29
- Spanaway, WA R+3
- Thrift, WA R+26
- South Hill, WA Even
- Orting, WA R+22
- La Grande, WA R+31
- Puyallup, WA Even
- Clover Creek, WA R+13
- McMillin, WA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Grandville, MI R+5
- Dania Beach, FL D+10
- Anthem, AZ R+24
- San Carlos, CA D+57
- Greenville, MS D+57
- Atascadero, CA R+7
- Crowley, TX R+10
- Lewis Center, OH D+8
- Rockford, MI R+16
- Fruit Cove, FL R+30
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.