Grand Forks Air Force Base leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Grand Forks Air Force Base typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grand Forks Air Force Base, ~21% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grand Forks Air Force Base compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Grand Forks Air Force Base leans more Republican than 10 of 24 neighbors.
Grand Forks Air Force Base runs about 8 points more Republican than North Dakota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Grand Forks Air Force Base. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+47) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+35), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Grand Forks Air Force Base leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Grand Forks Air Force Base. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Grand Forks Air Force Base, ND sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Grand Forks Air Force Base looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Grand Forks Air Force Base is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in Grand Forks Air Force Base own their home, above 81% of cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Grand Forks Air Force Base have completed high school, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Thompson, ND R+44
- Grand Forks, ND Even
- East Grand Forks, MN R+26
- Emerado, ND R+46
- Reynolds, ND R+43
- Grand Forks Afb, ND R+33
- Mekinock, ND R+47
- Fisher, MN R+54
- Manvel, ND R+48
- Arvilla, ND R+43
Cities with Similar Populations
- Monitor, KY R+58
- Stovall, GA R+69
- Tyro, MS R+19
- Lake Vanare, NY R+21
- Echo, MN R+59
- Tulip, IN R+60
- Stockton, AL R+30
- Stockton, IA R+38
- Capps, AL R+27
- Bethania, NC R+6
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.