Grand Forks Afb, ND Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Grand Forks Afb

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Grand Forks Afb leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.

 

About 40% of adults in Grand Forks Afb typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grand Forks Afb, ~14% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Grand Forks Afb compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Grand Forks Afb leans more Republican than 2 of 29 neighbors.

Politically, Grand Forks Afb sits close to the rest of North Dakota.

Why Grand Forks Afb leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grand Forks Afb, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Grand Forks Afb votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 58%, far above the North Dakota average of 12%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Grand Forks Afb are family households, above 93% of cities.

Developed land, local retail density, and voter turnout

Places that combine a heavily developed built environment and sparse local retail within a mile tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Grand Forks Afb, ND does.

Why turnout in Grand Forks Afb looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 92% of households in Grand Forks Afb rent, about 67 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 99% of adults in Grand Forks Afb have completed high school, above 97% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Grand Forks Afb sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.