Grand Mesa leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Grand Mesa typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grand Mesa, ~24% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grand Mesa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Grand Mesa leans more Republican than 3 of 17 neighbors.
Grand Mesa runs about 48 points more Republican than Colorado as a whole. Colorado leans Democratic overall, while Grand Mesa is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Grand Mesa. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+52) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+12), a spread of about 40 points.
Why Grand Mesa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grand Mesa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Grand Mesa votes against the grain of Colorado. Colorado leans Democratic overall, while Grand Mesa runs about 48 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Grand Mesa sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 91% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Grand Mesa, CO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Grand Mesa looks the way it does
Turnout in Grand Mesa sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cedaredge, CO R+27
- Eckert, CO R+43
- Mesa Lakes, CO R+52
- Molina, CO R+54
- Orchard City, CO R+45
- Rogers Mesa, CO R+54
- Austin, CO R+47
- Collbran, CO R+52
- Hotchkiss, CO R+39
- Mesa, CO R+54
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dutch John, UT R+60
- Dalesburg, SD R+46
- Easton, LA R+85
- Wing, ND R+73
- Crary, ND R+48
- Georgia, LA D+19
- Cross Roads, IN R+57
- Glendale Colony, SD R+54
- Grafton, NE R+66
- Corinth, TN R+67
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Colorado Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.