Mesa is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Mesa typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mesa, ~16% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mesa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mesa leans more Republican than 14 of 16 neighbors.
Mesa runs about 65 points more Republican than Colorado as a whole. Colorado leans Democratic overall, while Mesa is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Mesa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mesa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mesa votes against the grain of Colorado. Colorado leans Democratic overall, while Mesa runs about 65 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Mesa sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 1%, below 97% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Mesa are family households, above 78% of cities.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Mesa, CO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Mesa looks the way it does
Turnout in Mesa sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Molina, CO R+54
- Mesa Lakes, CO R+52
- Palisade, CO R+25
- DeBeque, CO R+54
- Plateau City, CO R+53
- Collbran, CO R+52
- Grand Mesa, CO R+37
- Clifton, CO R+26
- Fruitvale, CO R+30
- Whitewater, CO R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Piave, MS R+90
- Buchtel, OH R+21
- Port Hudson, LA R+31
- Elwood, TX R+71
- Vernalis, CA R+31
- Oakman, OK R+48
- Lewis, KS R+77
- Lane, OK R+75
- Walcott, ND R+44
- Reece City, AL R+70
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Colorado Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.