Green Cove is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Green Cove typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Green Cove, ~12% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Green Cove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Green Cove leans more Republican than 41 of 64 neighbors.
Green Cove runs about 70 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Green Cove is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Green Cove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Green Cove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Green Cove, more than 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 6% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 23 points below the Virginia average of 29%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Green Cove sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 84% of cities). Green Cove runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Green Cove, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Green Cove looks the way it does
Turnout in Green Cove sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Whitetop, VA R+63
- Konnarock, VA R+64
- Taylors Valley, VA R+60
- Friendship, VA R+64
- Grayson, NC R+48
- Laurel Bloomery, TN R+74
- Loves Mill, VA R+65
- Stony Battery, VA R+64
- Silver Lake, TN R+72
- Damascus, VA R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Womack, LA R+82
- Sturdivant, MO R+74
- Sugar Pine, CA R+15
- Clyde, PA R+56
- Lyons, IA R+39
- Cross Roads, MO R+71
- Brotherton, PA R+63
- South Hill, KY R+64
- Possum Trot, KY R+54
- Peters Prairie, TX R+44
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.