Grier is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Grier typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grier, ~10% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grier compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Grier leans more Republican than 6 of 11 neighbors.
Grier runs about 79 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Grier is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Grier. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+79) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+63), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Grier leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grier, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Grier votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Grier runs about 79 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Grier sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 91% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Grier, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Grier looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 98% of adults in Grier have completed high school, about 11 points above the New Mexico average of 87%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Grier own their home, compared to around 72% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- St. Vrain, NM R+74
- Ranchvale, NM R+81
- Cannon Air Force Base, NM R+55
- Clovis, NM R+31
- Hollene, NM R+81
- Melrose, NM R+59
- Floyd, NM R+75
- Portales, NM R+32
- Texico, NM R+59
- Farwell, TX R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Woodland Corner, AR R+66
- Terrell, GA R+60
- Ten Mile, PA R+51
- Monrovia, KS R+57
- Rio Creek, WI R+42
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.