Guilford leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 72% of adults in Guilford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Guilford, ~44% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Guilford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Guilford leans more Democratic than 57 of 100 neighbors.
Guilford runs about 11 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Guilford. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+27) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Guilford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Guilford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 48% of adults in Guilford hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 35% of adults in Guilford have never been married, above 88% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Guilford, VT sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Guilford looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Guilford is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Green River, VT D+22
- Brattleboro, VT D+40
- West Brattleboro, VT D+42
- Vernon, VT D+4
- Hinsdale, NH R+20
- Marlboro, VT D+38
- Leyden, MA D+9
- Harrisville, VT D+38
- West Halifax, VT D+31
- Bernardston, MA D+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Manchester, IL R+65
- Talma, IN R+61
- Claytown, MS R+50
- Mount Tabor, WI R+37
- Orchard, CO R+68
- Loma Mar, CA D+52
- Figg, KY R+47
- Georgeville, MN R+56
- O'Farrell, TX R+60
- Indian Town, VA R+38
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.